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Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians vs Shelbourne prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bohemians host Shelbourne in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bohemians had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Shelbourne had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bohemians's last 10 and 8 of Shelbourne's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bohemians averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Shelbourne averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Bohemians and 1.31 from Shelbourne. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 28%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bohemians (green) and Shelbourne (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians | WLLWD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Shelbourne | WWDWL | 1.60 | 1.30 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jun 2026 · Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
- 4 May 2026 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Bohemians Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers · 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 - Derry City vs Dundalk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Waterford vs Drogheda United · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44