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Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Galway United host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Galway United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. St Patrick's Athl. had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Galway United's last 10 and 3 of St Patrick's Athl.'s last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Galway United averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 15 matches; away from home St Patrick's Athl. averaged 1.38 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Galway United and 1.17 from St Patrick's Athl.. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 18%, 24% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Galway United (green) and St Patrick's Athl. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | LWLDL | 1.50 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| St Patrick's Athl. | LLWWW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jul 2026 · St Patrick's Athl. 3–0 Galway United
- 1 May 2026 · Galway United 2–2 St Patrick's Athl.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| St Patrick's Athl. Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers · 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 - Bohemians vs Shelbourne · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Derry City vs Dundalk · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Waterford vs Drogheda United · 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44