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First NL · Croatia
Sesvete vs Hrvace prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sesvete host Hrvace in the First NL (Croatia) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sesvete had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Hrvace had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sesvete's last 10 and 5 of Hrvace's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sesvete averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hrvace averaged 0.67 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Sesvete and 0.81 from Hrvace. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 21%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sesvete (green) and Hrvace (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Hrvace 4–2 Sesvete
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Sesvete Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 - Dinamo Zagreb U21 vs HNK Cibalia · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28