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First NL · Croatia
Dinamo Zagreb U21 vs HNK Cibalia prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Zagreb U21 host HNK Cibalia in the First NL (Croatia) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dinamo Zagreb U21 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. HNK Cibalia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dinamo Zagreb U21's last 10 and 6 of HNK Cibalia's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Zagreb U21 averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home HNK Cibalia averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Dinamo Zagreb U21 and 1.10 from HNK Cibalia. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dinamo Zagreb U21 (green) and HNK Cibalia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb U21 | LWWLL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| HNK Cibalia | LLWWD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 - Sesvete vs Hrvace · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65