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Prva Liga · Serbia
Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Semendrija 1924 host Naftagas in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Semendrija 1924 Win — Semendrija 1924 to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Semendrija 1924 1–1 Naftagas.
Going into the match, Semendrija 1924 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Naftagas had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Semendrija 1924's last 10 and 6 of Naftagas's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Semendrija 1924 averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Naftagas averaged 1.85 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Semendrija 1924 and 1.20 from Naftagas. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 30%, against 67%, 22% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Semendrija 1924 (green) and Naftagas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semendrija 1924 | LWWWW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
| Naftagas | DWWLD | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Semendrija 1924 Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Semendrija 1924 HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Prva Liga matches that day
- Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 - Napredak vs Dubočica · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - TSC Backa Topola vs Metalac GM · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: TSC Backa Topola Win @ 1.25 - Javor vs OFK Bor 1919 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 3–0