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Prva Liga · Serbia
TSC Backa Topola vs Metalac GM prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
TSC Backa Topola host Metalac GM in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is TSC Backa Topola Win — TSC Backa Topola to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: TSC Backa Topola 5–1 Metalac GM.
Going into the match, TSC Backa Topola had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Metalac GM had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of TSC Backa Topola's last 10 and 2 of Metalac GM's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home TSC Backa Topola averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Metalac GM averaged 1.00 scored and 0.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from TSC Backa Topola and 0.97 from Metalac GM. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 72%, 18% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between TSC Backa Topola (green) and Metalac GM (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola | WWDDD | 2.30 | 1.10 | 80% | 70% |
| Metalac GM | LDWWW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola Win | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| TSC Backa Topola HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 2-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Prva Liga matches that day
- Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 - Napredak vs Dubočica · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - Javor vs OFK Bor 1919 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 3–0 - Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Semendrija 1924 Win @ 1.33 · FT 1–1