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Prva Liga · Serbia
Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jedinstvo Ub host Grafičar in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Grafičar to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jedinstvo Ub 3–1 Grafičar.
Going into the match, Jedinstvo Ub had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 20. Grafičar had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Jedinstvo Ub's last 10 and 8 of Grafičar's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jedinstvo Ub averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Grafičar averaged 0.67 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Jedinstvo Ub and 1.36 from Grafičar. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jedinstvo Ub (green) and Grafičar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedinstvo Ub | LDLLL | 0.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Grafičar | DLWLW | 1.50 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Grafičar Win | 35% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Prva Liga matches that day
- Napredak vs Dubočica · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - TSC Backa Topola vs Metalac GM · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: TSC Backa Topola Win @ 1.25 - Javor vs OFK Bor 1919 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 3–0 - Semendrija 1924 vs Naftagas · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Prva Liga
Published pick: Semendrija 1924 Win @ 1.33 · FT 1–1