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Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SC Paderborn 07 host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, SC Paderborn 07 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Hamburger SV had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SC Paderborn 07's last 10 and 4 of Hamburger SV's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Paderborn 07 averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Hamburger SV averaged 1.55 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from SC Paderborn 07 and 1.14 from Hamburger SV. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 25% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SC Paderborn 07 (green) and Hamburger SV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | DLWWL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
| Hamburger SV | WWWWL | 1.50 | 1.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| SC Paderborn 07 Win | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.48 - RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53