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Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, RB Leipzig had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 19. SV Elversberg had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 10 and 8 of SV Elversberg's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Leipzig averaged 2.89 goals scored and 0.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home SV Elversberg averaged 2.00 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.60 from SV Elversberg. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 27%, against 66%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Leipzig (green) and SV Elversberg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | LLWWL | 2.50 | 1.90 | 40% | 80% |
| SV Elversberg | WLLDL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| RB Leipzig Win | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| RB Leipzig HT & FT | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.48 - FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50