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Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1. FC Köln host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, 1. FC Köln had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. FC Schalke 04 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 and 4 of FC Schalke 04's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1. FC Köln averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FC Schalke 04 averaged 2.23 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from 1. FC Köln and 1.19 from FC Schalke 04. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%, against 46%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1. FC Köln (green) and FC Schalke 04 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | LWDLD | 1.60 | 1.70 | 90% | 80% |
| FC Schalke 04 | LLWWD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.48 - RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50