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Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Augsburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Augsburg had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 20. Union Berlin had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Augsburg's last 10 and 5 of Union Berlin's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Augsburg averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Union Berlin averaged 2.00 scored and 2.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.71 goals from FC Augsburg and 1.55 from Union Berlin. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 11%, against 52%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Augsburg (green) and Union Berlin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | LDDLD | 2.30 | 2.00 | 70% | 90% |
| Union Berlin | DWWLL | 1.50 | 2.50 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.48 - RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50