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Liga MX · Mexico
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santos Laguna host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 22 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santos Laguna 2–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Going into the match, Santos Laguna had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. U.N.A.M. - Pumas had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Santos Laguna's last 10 and 7 of U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santos Laguna averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaged 1.40 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Santos Laguna and 0.97 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santos Laguna (green) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | WWWWW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | WDLDL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul · 22 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–2 - Atlas vs Club America · 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–5 - Puebla vs Monterrey · 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - Toluca vs Club Tijuana · 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2