Home › League stats › Liga MX › Atlas vs Club America
Liga MX · Mexico
Atlas vs Club America prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlas host Club America in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlas 2–5 Club America.
Going into the match, Atlas had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Club America had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Atlas's last 10 and 6 of Club America's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlas averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Club America averaged 1.85 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Atlas and 2.10 from Club America. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 50%, against 26%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlas (green) and Club America (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | WDWDL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 80% | 50% |
| Club America | WDLWD | 2.10 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Club America 0–1 Atlas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul · 22 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–2 - Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 22 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–0 - Puebla vs Monterrey · 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - Toluca vs Club Tijuana · 22 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2