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Liga MX · Mexico
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Santos Laguna host Club Queretaro in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Santos Laguna 5–0 Club Queretaro.
Going into the match, Santos Laguna had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Club Queretaro had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Santos Laguna's last 10 and 4 of Club Queretaro's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santos Laguna averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Club Queretaro averaged 1.25 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Santos Laguna and 0.91 from Club Queretaro. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 41%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Santos Laguna (green) and Club Queretaro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | WWWWL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Club Queretaro | WWDWW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez · 18 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 5–0 - Leon vs Club America · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Toluca vs Atletico San Luis · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL · 17 Oct 2026, 23:07 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40