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Liga MX · Mexico
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cruz Azul host FC Juarez in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cruz Azul 5–0 FC Juarez.
Going into the match, Cruz Azul had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. FC Juarez had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cruz Azul's last 10 and 6 of FC Juarez's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cruz Azul averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home FC Juarez averaged 1.23 scored and 2.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.74 goals from Cruz Azul and 1.03 from FC Juarez. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 11%, against 73%, 18% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cruz Azul (green) and FC Juarez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Cruz Azul Win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Cruz Azul HT & FT | 53% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Leon vs Club America · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Toluca vs Atletico San Luis · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL · 17 Oct 2026, 23:07 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44