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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Sanremese vs Sestri Levante prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanremese host Sestri Levante in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sanremese 1–0 Sestri Levante.
Going into the match, Sanremese had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Sestri Levante had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sanremese's last 10 and 6 of Sestri Levante's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanremese averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sestri Levante averaged 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Sanremese and 0.76 from Sestri Levante. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 18%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanremese (green) and Sestri Levante (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | DWWLD | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Sestri Levante | DWWLD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Sestri Levante 0–2 Sanremese
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.79 |
| Sanremese Win | 48% | 1.80 |
| Sanremese HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie D - Girone A matches that day
- Biellese vs Valenzana · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Biellese Win @ 1.57 - Ligorna vs Bra · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Ligorna Win @ 1.62 · FT 1–2 - Borgosesia vs Imperia · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Celle Varazze vs Gozzano · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Derthona vs Asti · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Saluzzo vs Chisola · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Fezzanese vs Millesimo · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 · FT 0–4 - Lascaris vs Alessandria · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2