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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Ligorna vs Bra prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ligorna host Bra in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ligorna Win — Ligorna to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ligorna 1–2 Bra.
Going into the match, Ligorna had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 14. Bra had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ligorna's last 10 and 5 of Bra's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ligorna averaged 3.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Bra averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Ligorna and 0.98 from Bra. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ligorna (green) and Bra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Ligorna Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie D - Girone A matches that day
- Biellese vs Valenzana · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Biellese Win @ 1.57 - Borgosesia vs Imperia · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Celle Varazze vs Gozzano · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Derthona vs Asti · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Saluzzo vs Chisola · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Sanremese vs Sestri Levante · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Fezzanese vs Millesimo · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 · FT 0–4 - Lascaris vs Alessandria · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2