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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Fezzanese vs Millesimo prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fezzanese host Millesimo in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fezzanese 0–4 Millesimo.
Going into the match, Fezzanese had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Millesimo had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Fezzanese's last 7 and 3 of Millesimo's last 8; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fezzanese averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Millesimo averaged 0.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Fezzanese and 1.88 from Millesimo. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 57%, against 38%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fezzanese (green) and Millesimo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Fezzanese Win | 37% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie D - Girone A matches that day
- Biellese vs Valenzana · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Biellese Win @ 1.57 - Ligorna vs Bra · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Ligorna Win @ 1.62 · FT 1–2 - Borgosesia vs Imperia · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Celle Varazze vs Gozzano · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Derthona vs Asti · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Saluzzo vs Chisola · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Sanremese vs Sestri Levante · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Lascaris vs Alessandria · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2