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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Biellese vs Valenzana prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Biellese host Valenzana in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Biellese Win — Biellese to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Biellese 4–1 Valenzana.
Going into the match, Biellese had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Valenzana had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Biellese's last 10 and 8 of Valenzana's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Biellese averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Valenzana averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.83 goals from Biellese and 1.11 from Valenzana. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 12%, against 57%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Biellese (green) and Valenzana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Biellese Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Biellese HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie D - Girone A matches that day
- Ligorna vs Bra · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Ligorna Win @ 1.62 · FT 1–2 - Borgosesia vs Imperia · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Celle Varazze vs Gozzano · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Derthona vs Asti · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Saluzzo vs Chisola · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Sanremese vs Sestri Levante · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Fezzanese vs Millesimo · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 · FT 0–4 - Lascaris vs Alessandria · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie D - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2