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UEFA Champions League · International
Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sabah FA host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 20 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sabah FA 1–2 Borussia Dortmund.
Going into the match, Sabah FA had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Borussia Dortmund had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sabah FA's last 10 and 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sabah FA averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.54 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Sabah FA and 1.08 from Borussia Dortmund. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 11%, 15% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sabah FA (green) and Borussia Dortmund (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | WWDWW | 2.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 70% |
| Borussia Dortmund | DLDWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 74% | 1.28 |
| Borussia Dortmund HT & FT | 56% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
| Borussia Dortmund 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 · FT 4–0 - FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - Liverpool vs Villarreal · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–3 - Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 · FT 5–1 - Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–3 - Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.53 · FT 4–2 - VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha · 20 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–2