Home › League stats › UEFA Champions League › Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt
UEFA Champions League · International
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Napoli host Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Napoli 4–3 Bodo/Glimt.
Going into the match, Napoli had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Bodo/Glimt had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Napoli's last 10 and 6 of Bodo/Glimt's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Napoli averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bodo/Glimt averaged 2.47 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Napoli and 1.60 from Bodo/Glimt. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Napoli (green) and Bodo/Glimt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | LLWDW | 1.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Bodo/Glimt | WWWWL | 2.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Napoli Win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 · FT 4–0 - FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - Liverpool vs Villarreal · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–3 - Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 · FT 5–1 - Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.53 · FT 4–2 - VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid · 20 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha · 20 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–2 - Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund · 20 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 · FT 1–2