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Ligue 1 · France
Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rennes host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (France) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rennes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Strasbourg had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rennes's last 10 and 8 of Strasbourg's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rennes averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Strasbourg averaged 1.38 scored and 2.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Rennes and 1.58 from Strasbourg. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 25%, against 53%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rennes (green) and Strasbourg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | DLWWL | 1.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Strasbourg | LLLDW | 1.50 | 2.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Rennes Win | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Angers vs Lorient · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - Auxerre vs Le Mans · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Marseille vs Le Havre · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Toulouse vs Estac Troyes · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Monaco vs Lille · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40