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Ligue 1 · France
Angers vs Lorient prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Angers host Lorient in the Ligue 1 (France) on 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Angers had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Lorient had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Angers's last 10 and 6 of Lorient's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Angers averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lorient averaged 1.40 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Angers and 1.74 from Lorient. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 50%, against 32%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Angers (green) and Lorient (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Angers 2–1 Lorient
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Auxerre vs Le Mans · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Marseille vs Le Havre · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Rennes vs Strasbourg · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Toulouse vs Estac Troyes · 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Monaco vs Lille · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40