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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain

Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 70%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Racing Ferrol host Unionistas de Salamanca in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Racing Ferrol 1–0 Unionistas de Salamanca.

Going into the match, Racing Ferrol had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Unionistas de Salamanca had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Racing Ferrol's last 10 and 5 of Unionistas de Salamanca's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing Ferrol averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Unionistas de Salamanca averaged 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Racing Ferrol and 0.71 from Unionistas de Salamanca. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 21%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Racing Ferrol (green) and Unionistas de Salamanca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 37%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength61% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Racing FerrolWWLWW1.301.1050%30%
Unionistas de SalamancaDWLWL1.301.3050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals70%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.40
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.75
Racing Ferrol Win52%1.70
BTTS No51%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day