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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Extremadura 1924 vs Real Unión prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Extremadura 1924 host Real Unión in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Extremadura 1924 2–2 Real Unión.
Going into the match, Extremadura 1924 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Real Unión had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Extremadura 1924's last 10 and 7 of Real Unión's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Extremadura 1924 averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Real Unión averaged 1.57 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Extremadura 1924 and 1.45 from Real Unión. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extremadura 1924 | WWLLL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Real Unión | DDLDL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Extremadura 1924 form and statistics
- Real Unión form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Zamora vs Ponferradina · 17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Barakaldo vs Mirandes · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–0 - Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 3–0 - Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–0