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I Liga · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Puszcza Niepołomice host Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Puszcza Niepołomice had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Lechia Gdansk had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Puszcza Niepołomice's last 10 and 8 of Lechia Gdansk's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Puszcza Niepołomice averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lechia Gdansk averaged 1.64 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.57 from Lechia Gdansk. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 39%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Puszcza Niepołomice (green) and Lechia Gdansk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | LWLLL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Lechia Gdansk | WWWWW | 2.40 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44