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I Liga · Poland
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stal Mielec host Chrobry Głogów in the I Liga (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stal Mielec had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 25. Chrobry Głogów had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stal Mielec's last 10 and 4 of Chrobry Głogów's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stal Mielec averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Chrobry Głogów averaged 1.07 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Stal Mielec and 1.78 from Chrobry Głogów. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 40%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stal Mielec (green) and Chrobry Głogów (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | LWLLD | 1.30 | 2.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Chrobry Głogów | LLLLD | 0.80 | 1.50 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Chrobry Głogów 2–1 Stal Mielec
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk · 24 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53