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I Liga · Poland
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Unia Skierniewice host Polonia Bytom in the I Liga (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Unia Skierniewice had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Polonia Bytom had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Unia Skierniewice's last 10 and 7 of Polonia Bytom's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Unia Skierniewice averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Polonia Bytom averaged 1.71 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Unia Skierniewice and 1.64 from Polonia Bytom. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Unia Skierniewice (green) and Polonia Bytom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Skierniewice | LDLDW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Polonia Bytom | WWLDW | 1.40 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other I Liga matches that day
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk · 24 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · I Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44