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Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC vs Rennes prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paris FC host Rennes in the Ligue 1 (France) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paris FC 4–3 Rennes.
Going into the match, Paris FC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Rennes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Paris FC's last 10 and 6 of Rennes's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paris FC averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Rennes averaged 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Paris FC and 1.29 from Rennes. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paris FC (green) and Rennes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Rennes 2–1 Paris FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lyon vs Nice · 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Le Havre vs Auxerre · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–3 - Lorient vs Monaco · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 - Angers vs Marseille · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53