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Ligue 1 · France
Lorient vs Monaco prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lorient host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (France) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Monaco to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lorient 1–0 Monaco.
Going into the match, Lorient had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Monaco had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lorient's last 10 and 7 of Monaco's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lorient averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Monaco averaged 1.75 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Lorient and 1.43 from Monaco. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 44%, against 26%, 27% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lorient (green) and Monaco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lyon vs Nice · 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Le Havre vs Auxerre · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–3 - Paris FC vs Rennes · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–3 - Angers vs Marseille · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53