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Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Le Havre host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 (France) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre.
Going into the match, Le Havre had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Auxerre had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Le Havre's last 10 and 8 of Auxerre's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Le Havre averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Auxerre averaged 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Le Havre and 1.57 from Auxerre. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Le Havre (green) and Auxerre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lyon vs Nice · 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Lorient vs Monaco · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 - Paris FC vs Rennes · 18 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–3 - Angers vs Marseille · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53