Home › League stats › Liga Alef › Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek
Liga Alef · Israel
Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nordia Jerusalem host Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hapoel Marmorek Win — Hapoel Marmorek to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nordia Jerusalem 1–4 Hapoel Marmorek.
Going into the match, Nordia Jerusalem had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 18. Hapoel Marmorek had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Nordia Jerusalem's last 6 and 3 of Hapoel Marmorek's last 6; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nordia Jerusalem averaged 0.33 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Hapoel Marmorek averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.65 goals from Nordia Jerusalem and 2.60 from Hapoel Marmorek. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 79%, against 16%, 21% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nordia Jerusalem (green) and Hapoel Marmorek (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | LLLLL | 0.33 | 3.00 | 33% | 67% |
| Hapoel Marmorek | DDLLL | 0.83 | 1.17 | 50% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Hapoel Marmorek Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| 0-2 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya · 19 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Beitar Nahariya Win @ 1.80 · FT 0–4 - Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Hadera Win @ 1.48 · FT 0–1 - Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel · 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 1–1 - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem · 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 0–1 - Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu · 19 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Maccabi Yavne Win @ 1.80 · FT 1–3 - Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba · 19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek · 19 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 · FT 1–1 - Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–2