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Liga Alef · Israel
Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Yavne host Holon Yermiyahu in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Maccabi Yavne Win — Maccabi Yavne to win. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Yavne 1–3 Holon Yermiyahu.
Going into the match, Maccabi Yavne had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 7 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Holon Yermiyahu had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 8 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Maccabi Yavne's last 7 and 1 of Holon Yermiyahu's last 6; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Yavne averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Holon Yermiyahu averaged 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Maccabi Yavne and 1.01 from Holon Yermiyahu. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 32%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Yavne (green) and Holon Yermiyahu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | WDWDD | 1.43 | 0.43 | 29% | 29% |
| Holon Yermiyahu | WLWLW | 1.33 | 0.83 | 17% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Maccabi Yavne Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Maccabi Yavne HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya · 19 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Beitar Nahariya Win @ 1.80 · FT 0–4 - Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Hadera Win @ 1.48 · FT 0–1 - Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel · 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 1–1 - Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem · 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 4–2 - Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 0–1 - Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek · 19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Marmorek Win @ 1.42 · FT 1–4 - Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba · 19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek · 19 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 · FT 1–1 - Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–2