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Liga Alef · Israel

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Hapoel Bnei Musmus WinOdds 1.40Market probability 65%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hapoel Bnei Musmus host Hapoel Ironi Arraba in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win — Hapoel Bnei Musmus to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba.

Going into the match, Hapoel Bnei Musmus had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Hapoel Ironi Arraba had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6, with 2 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Hapoel Bnei Musmus's last 7 and 2 of Hapoel Ironi Arraba's last 6; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Bnei Musmus averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Hapoel Ironi Arraba averaged 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Hapoel Bnei Musmus and 0.78 from Hapoel Ironi Arraba. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 26%, against 64%, 22% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hapoel Bnei Musmus (green) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%
Attack60% – 40%
Defence68% – 32%
Head-to-head36% – 64%
Goals40% – 60%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Hapoel Bnei MusmusLDWDL0.431.4329%43%
Hapoel Ironi ArrabaDDLLL0.332.3333%50%

Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals69%1.32
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win65%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals53%1.80
BTTS No52%1.75
Under 2.5 Goals47%2.00
Hapoel Bnei Musmus HT & FT44%2.10
1-014%6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Liga Alef matches that day