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Liga Alef · Israel

Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.33Market probability 69%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hapoel Sderot host Hapoel Herzliya in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Hapoel Herzliya to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hapoel Sderot 2–2 Hapoel Herzliya.

Going into the match, Hapoel Sderot had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Hapoel Herzliya had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 3 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Hapoel Sderot's last 7 and 2 of Hapoel Herzliya's last 7; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Sderot averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Hapoel Herzliya averaged 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded across 3.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Hapoel Sderot and 1.02 from Hapoel Herzliya. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 31%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hapoel Sderot (green) and Hapoel Herzliya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence13% – 88%
Overall strength26% – 74%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Hapoel SderotWLDLW1.571.2957%57%
Hapoel HerzliyaLDDWD0.860.4329%29%

Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

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