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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda host FC Jerusalem in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4–2 FC Jerusalem.
Going into the match, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. FC Jerusalem had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 9 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's last 6 and 4 of FC Jerusalem's last 6; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Mahane Yehuda averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home FC Jerusalem averaged 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and 1.36 from FC Jerusalem. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%, against 21%, 24% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (green) and FC Jerusalem (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | DLLLD | 0.67 | 1.33 | 50% | 17% |
| FC Jerusalem | LWDWD | 1.50 | 0.83 | 67% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| FC Jerusalem Win | 54% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| FC Jerusalem HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Alef matches that day
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Beitar Nahariya · 19 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Beitar Nahariya Win @ 1.80 · FT 0–4 - Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Hadera · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Hadera Win @ 1.48 · FT 0–1 - Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel · 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 1–1 - Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Herzliya · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 0–1 - Maccabi Yavne vs Holon Yermiyahu · 19 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Maccabi Yavne Win @ 1.80 · FT 1–3 - Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek · 19 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Marmorek Win @ 1.42 · FT 1–4 - Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba · 19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: Hapoel Bnei Musmus Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek · 19 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 · FT 1–1 - Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya · 19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Liga Alef
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–2