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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monarcas host CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Monarcas Win — Monarcas to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Monarcas 1–2 CDS Tampico Madero.
Going into the match, Monarcas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. CDS Tampico Madero had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Monarcas's last 10 and 5 of CDS Tampico Madero's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monarcas averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home CDS Tampico Madero averaged 0.73 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Monarcas and 0.65 from CDS Tampico Madero. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 12%, against 62%, 21% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monarcas (green) and CDS Tampico Madero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monarcas | DDLWW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
| CDS Tampico Madero | DLLDL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Apr 2026 · CDS Tampico Madero 1–0 Monarcas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Monarcas Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Monarcas HT & FT | 43% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Durango vs Tapatío · 18 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 5–0 - Cancún vs Venados FC · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 1–1 - Piratas vs Tepatitlán · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Piratas Win @ 1.25