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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Cancún vs Venados FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cancún host Venados FC in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cancún 1–1 Venados FC.
Going into the match, Cancún had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Venados FC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cancún's last 10 and 9 of Venados FC's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cancún averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Venados FC averaged 1.57 scored and 2.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Cancún and 1.40 from Venados FC. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cancún (green) and Venados FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancún | DWLWD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Venados FC | DWWLW | 2.30 | 2.10 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.65 |
| Cancún Win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.20 |
| Cancún HT & FT | 32% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Durango vs Tapatío · 18 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 5–0 - Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Monarcas Win @ 1.50 - Piratas vs Tepatitlán · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Piratas Win @ 1.25