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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

Durango vs Tapatío prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 5–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Durango host Tapatío in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 18 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Tapatío to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Durango 5–0 Tapatío.

Going into the match, Durango had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Tapatío had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Durango's last 10 and 8 of Tapatío's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Durango averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Tapatío averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Durango and 0.73 from Tapatío. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 14%. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Durango (green) and Tapatío (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack39% – 61%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals27% – 73%
Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
DurangoDWWWL0.901.1030%30%
TapatíoWLLWL2.202.0080%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day