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Premier League · England
Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manchester City host Ipswich in the Premier League (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Manchester City Win — Manchester City to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich.
Going into the match, Manchester City had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 12. Ipswich had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Manchester City's last 10 and 7 of Ipswich's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manchester City averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ipswich averaged 1.55 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.02 goals from Manchester City and 1.02 from Ipswich. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 9%, against 76%, 15% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manchester City (green) and Ipswich (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | LWWWW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 40% | 70% |
| Ipswich | WLLWL | 2.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Manchester City Win | 76% | 1.25 |
| Manchester City 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Manchester City HT & FT | 56% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Newcastle vs Aston Villa · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Brentford vs Liverpool · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Fulham vs Hull City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Everton vs Chelsea · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50