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Premier League · England
Fulham vs Hull City prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fulham host Hull City in the Premier League (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fulham 1–0 Hull City.
Going into the match, Fulham had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Hull City had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Fulham's last 10 and 4 of Hull City's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fulham averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hull City averaged 1.31 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Fulham and 0.77 from Hull City. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 29%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fulham (green) and Hull City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Fulham Win | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Newcastle vs Aston Villa · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Brentford vs Liverpool · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Manchester City vs Ipswich · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Manchester City Win @ 1.25 - Everton vs Chelsea · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50