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Premier League · England
Brentford vs Liverpool prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brentford host Liverpool in the Premier League (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brentford 1–2 Liverpool.
Going into the match, Brentford had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 10. Liverpool had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Brentford's last 10 and 5 of Liverpool's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brentford averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Liverpool averaged 2.13 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Brentford and 1.27 from Liverpool. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brentford (green) and Liverpool (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Liverpool 1–1 Brentford
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Newcastle vs Aston Villa · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Fulham vs Hull City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Manchester City vs Ipswich · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Manchester City Win @ 1.25 - Everton vs Chelsea · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50