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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modi'in prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa host Ironi Modi'in in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0–2 Ironi Modi'in.
Going into the match, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Ironi Modi'in had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's last 10 and 8 of Ironi Modi'in's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ironi Modi'in averaged 1.30 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa and 1.83 from Ironi Modi'in. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 34%, 25% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (green) and Ironi Modi'in (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | LWLLL | 0.90 | 2.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Ironi Modi'in | LWLLL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · Ironi Modi'in 4–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–0 - Kiryat Yam SC vs Kafr Qasim · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–4 - Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0