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Liga Leumit · Israel
Kiryat Yam SC vs Kafr Qasim prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kiryat Yam SC host Kafr Qasim in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kiryat Yam SC 2–1 Kafr Qasim.
Going into the match, Kiryat Yam SC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 17. Kafr Qasim had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kiryat Yam SC's last 10 and 3 of Kafr Qasim's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kiryat Yam SC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Kafr Qasim averaged 0.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Kiryat Yam SC and 1.13 from Kafr Qasim. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kiryat Yam SC (green) and Kafr Qasim (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiryat Yam SC | DWWWL | 2.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Kafr Qasim | LWWWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–0 - Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modi'in · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–4 - Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0