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Liga Leumit · Israel
Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ashdod host Maccabi Kiryat Gat in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ashdod 0–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
Going into the match, Ashdod had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Maccabi Kiryat Gat had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ashdod's last 10 and 5 of Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 9; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ashdod averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Maccabi Kiryat Gat averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Ashdod and 0.81 from Maccabi Kiryat Gat. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 20%, against 67%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ashdod (green) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashdod | WWWWW | 2.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | DLLWL | 1.00 | 1.22 | 56% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ashdod Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.