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Liga Leumit · Israel
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Afula host Maccabi Herzliya in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Afula 0–0 Maccabi Herzliya.
Going into the match, Hapoel Afula had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 15. Maccabi Herzliya had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hapoel Afula's last 10 and 6 of Maccabi Herzliya's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Afula averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Maccabi Herzliya averaged 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Hapoel Afula and 1.14 from Maccabi Herzliya. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Afula (green) and Maccabi Herzliya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | WDWDL | 2.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Maccabi Herzliya | LLLDW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Kiryat Yam SC vs Kafr Qasim · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Ironi Modi'in · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–4 - Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat · 16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–0