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Serie A · Italy
Lecce vs Juventus prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lecce host Juventus in the Serie A (Italy) on 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Juventus Win — Juventus to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lecce had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Juventus had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lecce's last 10 and 5 of Juventus's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lecce averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Juventus averaged 1.09 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Lecce and 1.33 from Juventus. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 45%, against 14%, 23% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lecce (green) and Juventus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Lecce 0–1 Juventus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Juventus Win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Udinese vs AC Milan · 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Atalanta vs Frosinone · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Genoa vs Venezia · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 - Inter vs Fiorentina · 25 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44