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Serie A · Italy
Genoa vs Venezia prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Genoa host Venezia in the Serie A (Italy) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Genoa to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Genoa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Venezia had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Genoa's last 10 and 6 of Venezia's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Genoa averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Venezia averaged 1.80 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Genoa and 1.85 from Venezia. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Genoa (green) and Venezia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Udinese vs AC Milan · 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Lecce vs Juventus · 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Juventus Win @ 1.48 - Atalanta vs Frosinone · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Inter vs Fiorentina · 25 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44