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Serie A · Italy
Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atalanta host Frosinone in the Serie A (Italy) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Atalanta had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Frosinone had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atalanta's last 10 and 6 of Frosinone's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atalanta averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Frosinone averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Atalanta and 1.22 from Frosinone. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 53%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atalanta (green) and Frosinone (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Atalanta Win | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Udinese vs AC Milan · 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Lecce vs Juventus · 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Juventus Win @ 1.48 - Genoa vs Venezia · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 - Inter vs Fiorentina · 25 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44