Home › League stats › First NL › HNK Cibalia vs Segesta Sisak
First NL · Croatia
HNK Cibalia vs Segesta Sisak prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
HNK Cibalia host Segesta Sisak in the First NL (Croatia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: HNK Cibalia 1–4 Segesta Sisak.
Going into the match, HNK Cibalia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Segesta Sisak had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of HNK Cibalia's last 10 and 6 of Segesta Sisak's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HNK Cibalia averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Segesta Sisak averaged 3.31 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from HNK Cibalia and 1.77 from Segesta Sisak. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 55%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between HNK Cibalia (green) and Segesta Sisak (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Cibalia | LWWDL | 0.90 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
| Segesta Sisak | LDWWW | 3.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| HNK Cibalia Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Bsk Bijelo Brdo vs Orijent 1919 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 - Hrvace vs Kustosija · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Jadran LP vs Dugopolje · 17 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22